The Russo-Ukrainian War VII

The risk of a second Vietnam

From Tuomas Malinen on Geopolitics and the Economy.

Things are moving rapidly in Ukraine pushed in motion by President Trump, but also the long-game Russia has been playing. President Trump has brough some renewed hope for the ruthless ‘war of attrition’, but we (he) are in danger of missing this opportunity.

In late-May, I warned in X that the developments we may see during the summer, will bring an end to a century-long western hegemony. This is actually what did occur, while most do not understand it yet. Series of developments that started in July, have the potential to derail the western hegemony in a very destructive way (note that this cannot be explained in one post).

Four events define this process:

The Trump assassination attempt - Kursk invasion - Toropets - Oreshnik

The first was an effort to remove the one man threatening the aim of the NATO/U.S. Deep State and the military-industrial complex to push the world into a perpetual war. The second and the third were efforts to lure Kremlin to over-react. Every single one of the first three had the aim of crushing all hopes for peace. The Oreshnik strike by Russia arose from these. It, most likely, was a reply to the Toropets incident,¹ with a totally new hypervelocity, “Atomic”, weapon. While we still don’t have full confirmation on the damage the strike inflicted to the factory in Dnipro (which tells its own story), the weapon (most likely) was a game-changer. The strike is also, where the process ends, for now.

What these four events have led us into is a cycle that is very hard to stop. More pressingly, there’s a time issue. The longer it takes for President Trump to reach peace, or even a ceasefire, in Ukraine the harder it will get. I detailed some of these in my recent interview with Kevork Almassian at Syriana Analysis.

Now let’s look at the process these four actions put in motion in more detail.

The game of shadows

The former chief strategist of President Trump, Steve Bannon, has warned that Ukraine could turn into Trump’s Vietnam similarly as the actual Vietnam turned into President Nixon’s, and not Lyndon Johnsson’s, war. Steve is right on this, but fails to see that this has been the plan all along (imho). Let me explain.