GnS Economics Newsletter

GnS Economics Newsletter

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GnS Economics Newsletter
GnS Economics Newsletter
Deprcon Warning
Warnings

Deprcon Warning

Ukraine threatens Moscow and St. Petersburg

Tuomas Malinen's avatar
Tuomas Malinen
Aug 28, 2024
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GnS Economics Newsletter
GnS Economics Newsletter
Deprcon Warning
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Several social media accounts are reporting that Ukrainian leadership would have threatened Russian biggest cities with ballistic missile strikes. This was reported also by the Express UK.

Such an event would, naturally, be a catastrophic escalation in the Russo-Ukrainian war, like we warned just two weeks ago:

They can either agree to peace on Russia’s terms (which at this point implies a complete surrender of the AFU), escalate massively (e.g., strike to Moscow) in a hope that a possible disproportionate response from Kremlin would draw NATO countries directly into the battle (which is not guaranteed), or conduct a major false flag attack in Ukraine/Europe blaming Russia to establish the same.

In the worst-case, we are about to enter a path leading to a nuclear exchange in Europe. We urge everyone to prepare for this worst-case scenario according to the guidelines we presented in Peak Escalation. We give additional guidance below.

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