The Network of Peak Escalation
A republication from Weekly Forecasts of GnS Economics (Free)
From Tuomas Malinen on Geopolitics and the Economy.
I want to start this week with something I published in the GnS Economics Weekly Forecasts last week. It extends my Peak Escalation hypothesis by speculating on what kind of a network the ‘group-over-groups,’ needs to have to be able to keep on pushing us into the global war.
I actually started to draw the “map” in my mind already over 20 years ago. When I began to write my Master’s Thesis in the fall of 2003, a friend sent me a webpage that went through the anomalies in the September 11 terrorist attacks. I think I spent about four months gradually reading through the arguments against the official narrative, and then one morning I understood that 9/11 could not have happened like it was presented. I spent the remainder of the day in shock. I wandered around Tampere, Finland’s third-largest city, where I lived with my ex-wife, considering the implications of my discovery. It implied the existence of a large intergovernmental conspiracy with a very dark aim. After the shock had passed and after I had understood I really could not do much about it, the revelation slowly faded away until returning with a vengeance during Corona-times and especially after the cycle of escalation following the Russian invasion of Ukraine in late-February 2022.
Still, it has not been easy to convey one's thinking to the Peak Escalation hypothesis because it is so ‘evil.’ As I mentioned, it began as a worst-case hypothesis, but it has then become the working hypothesis at GnS Economics due to its remarkably accurate forecasting power. But to work, the hypothesis requires an intricate network to exist. Hence, my speculation below.
I have to note that the Peak Escalation hypothesis is still very much in development. I, for example, have not yet figured out what its cohesive force is. In other words, I have not yet discovered what keeps the entire delicate system together, as large human systems are always fragile. I have some ideas, but they are too declamatory to write down in an analytical form, yet. But below you find where I stand with the Peak Escalation hypothesis at the current time. I have redacted it a bit by removing the short introduction.
Tuomas
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Published on June 6, 2025, in the GnS Economics Newsletter.
The actual birth moment of the Peak Escalation hypothesis was when Tuomas started to analyze the terrorist attacks of Hamas on October 7, 2023. He wrote in Apocalypse. Cancelled? that,
I want to share a piece of information from my friend, who served several tours in the U.N. Middle East military intelligence. He said to me several years back that nothing that happens in and around Israel goes unnoticed by Mossad. He gave several examples, which I cannot repeat here due to confidentiality. This is not a conspiracy theory, but a observed fact from a high-ranking soldier, who served in the area several times.
Thus, I, for one, do not believe for a second that Mossad and the IDF were surprised by Hamas. They at least allowed the strikes to Israel to happen, if not worse.
The Biden administration's panicked response to the strikes suggests they were unaware of the impending threat. Recently, we have learned that President Trump was not (allegedly) briefed on the attack on Russia’s nuclear forces (strategic bombers) by Ukraine. Tuomas has examined this topic thoroughly in his articles (see this, this, and this), which is why we will not explore them further here. We just note that President Trump has given an effective go-ahead for Russian retaliatory strikes, like Tuomas speculated earlier he would.
While we remain skeptical of President Trump not knowing, for example, the former National Security Advisor General Mike Flynn has made several statements in X arguing that President Trump did not know and that the Deep State (and someone “outside”) has taken control of the handling of the Ukrainian conflict. In one of his latest posts, he notes that
I believe that the American Deep State is staffed by those with a deep, visceral, and irrational hatred for Russia, and these persons have conspired to box in President Trump's decision making through the Russiagate Hoax. During the time the Soviet Union was expanding and infiltrating our government, I was an outspoken anti-communist, but, despite the lies told by our Deep State, Russia is not the Soviet Union and Putin is not Stalin. Even today, years after the Russiagate Hoax has been exposed, President Trump's efforts to bring peace are met with resistance.
During almost all of the post-World War II period, and certainly since the establishment of the CIA in 1947, these unelected dark establishment forces have acted to destabilize the world, bringing death, famine, assassinations, violence, coups, riots, revolutions, and destruction to our planet. Currently, these forces are working to provoke Russia into a major --- perhaps a final --- military conflict with the West.
This is very dark stuff from a long-serving general of the U.S. Armed Forces. Yet we go even deeper in our worst-case scenario.
In the worst case, behind peak escalation is an intricate network consisting of corporations, intelligence agencies, NGOs, government institutions, political leaders, and the elite. We got something of a first look into this when DOGE (Department of Government Efficiency) demolished USAID. Tuomas looked at the mind-boggling revelations of DOGE.
If there is such a network of operators, there needs to be some central authority. Tuomas has suggested the existence of a highly secretive ‘group-over-groups,’ pushing their destructive agenda across the globe. This would coalesce with the Deep State and the military-industrial complex forming a War Triad. Intelligence agencies, NGOs, and some supranational organizations would be their operative arms, affecting governments and global and national elites, forming a global spiderweb-like structure of control.
At this point and with the information we currently hold, we cannot neither debunk nor corroborate the existence of such a web, but we need to acknowledge that it is definitely within the realm of possibility. This implies that we simply need to acknowledge the possibility of a global conspiracy against the human race. The relentless push towards a nuclear confrontation simply leaves no other possibility.
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