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Into the 2nd round?

The Iran-Israel conflict looks to flare up, again.

Tuomas Malinen's avatar
Tuomas Malinen
Oct 01, 2025
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Evidence for a 2nd round of the Iran-Israel war commencing is building, like predicted by our Peak Escalation hypothesis. The conflict has been escalating since the bombing of the Iranian embassy in Damascus, by Israel, on 1 April 2024. It reached the state of war on 13 June, when Israel launched a bombing campaign against military and nuclear targets in Iran combined with an assassination campaign of high-ranking Iranian military and civilian officials. In this entry I will reveal information indicating that Iran may already possess nuclear warheads and go through the strategic background and the likely outcome of the 2nd round of the conflict.

However, let’s start with news stating that “Pakistan is not selling nuclear weapons to Saudi-Arabia.” Why do you think they need to deny such rumors? I can think of one reason: the Greater Israel project of PM Netanyahu.

In the Double Standards (published on 18 December 2024), I noted the worry presented by Francesca Albanese, the UN’s Special Rapporteur on human rights in the occupied Palestinian regions, who has been warning about the expansionary plans of PM Netanyahu for years:

Just two months ago (before the collapse of Syria) she [Francesca Albanese] re-iterated her warning in an interview summarized as “Idea of greater Israel fueling Netanyahu’s ideology”. She refers to Biblical prophesy (which some claim is an misinterpretation) of “Greater Israel”, which would stretch from Syria deep into Egypt and Saudi-Arabia. According to Dr. Albanese (and many others), many powerful political and religious groups in Israel are actively pushing this. The collapse of Syria fits to this aim perfectly.

It is very likely that Saudi Arabia is afraid that if Iran collapses, they will be next, and that the only way to stop an Israeli incursion into the northern parts of Saudi Arabia (where “Greater Israel” should extend) is through acquiring nuclear weapons. Invasion fears are not unfounded after the Israeli air strike on Qatar, a strong U.S. ally in the region. The above implies that inquiries have been made, and hence the denial. But what about the situation between Iran and Israel?

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© 2025 Tuomas Malinen
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