Deprcon warning

The threat of a Russian offensive in Ukraine

The likelihood that Russia will launch another major offensive in Ukraine in the coming weeks has grown notably in recent weeks. For example, today, a major Finnish newspaper (Iltalehti) warned on this possibility. This is notable, since previously all such comments have been labelled as “Kremlin supported propaganda”, etc.

Our CEO Tuomas Malinen has been tracking developments in Ukraine since late-August and we include his recent analysis on the situation (effectively the worst-case scenario) below. His fear is that the reports of major Russian losses has been mostly Ukrainian propaganda and that Ukrainian fighting capability has been seriously diminished.