A theory
Daily Thoughts 24 Mar 2025
Today, I will continue a bit with a theory we presented at the footnote of last week’s Weekly Forecasts. There we noted that Presidents Trump and Putin may be very well aware of the effective stalemate in Ukraine:
If the Kremlin would budge and allow European “peacekeeping” troops to enter Ukraine, tensions would continue to increase until the war would flare up again, but this time with European troops directly involved. If President Zelenskyy would capitulate, national factions could enact a coup derailing the whole process, with the likely support of the Coalition of the Willing.
If they understand this, which I consider highly likely, what would they aim at? Is this mere theater that is being played to us?
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